Detroit Red Wings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-02-02 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 59.6%

DET: 40.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.17

DET: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs DET: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	DET 5 - 1 VAN	DET	DET
2025-12-08	VAN 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-02-02	VAN 2 - 3 DET	DET	VAN
2024-12-01	DET 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-02-15	VAN 4 - 1 DET	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	15	0	1.07
1	DET	11	0	0.50
2	VAN	14	0	0.91
2	DET	9	1	0.63
3	VAN	9	1	0.72
3	DET	5	0	0.12
4	VAN	2	0	0.17
4	DET	3	0	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0