Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-02-02 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 58.5%
CGY: 41.5%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.98
CGY: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | SEA | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • SEA at home vs CGY: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | CGY 1 - 5 SEA | SEA | CGY |
| 2025-12-18 | CGY 4 - 2 SEA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-25 | CGY 4 - 3 SEA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-02-08 | CGY 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | CGY |
| 2025-02-02 | SEA 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:03 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 16:43 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 17:56 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 14:31 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 05:41 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9