Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-02-02 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 52.1%

CGY: 47.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.08

CGY: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • SEA at home vs CGY: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SEA	11	0.45
1	CGY	22	1.62
2	SEA	20	1.02
2	CGY	13	0.55
3	SEA	20	0.81
3	CGY	13	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3