Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-02-02 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 52.5%

CGY: 47.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.09

CGY: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	35	32	3	91.4%	2.67	0	-0.33
CGY	Dan Vladar	31	29	2	93.5%	2.28	0	0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs CGY: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SEA	11	0.45
1	CGY	22	1.62
2	SEA	20	1.02
2	CGY	13	0.55
3	SEA	20	0.81
3	CGY	13	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3