Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-02-04 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 64.5%
CBJ: 35.5%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.33
CBJ: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs CBJ: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | BUF 5 - 0 CBJ | BUF | CBJ |
| 2026-01-03 | CBJ 5 - 1 BUF | CBJ | BUF |
| 2025-10-28 | BUF 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-04-10 | CBJ 3 - 2 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-02-04 | BUF 3 - 2 CBJ | BUF | BUF |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 13 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 1 | CBJ | 18 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 2 | BUF | 19 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 2 | CBJ | 11 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 3 | BUF | 4 | 1 | 0.78 |
| 3 | CBJ | 13 | 0 | 0.75 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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