Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

WSH: 53.7%

FLA: 46.3%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.18

FLA: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WSH at home vs FLA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	WSH
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	9	1	0.46
1	FLA	16	1	1.24
2	WSH	14	0	0.90
2	FLA	9	0	0.59
3	WSH	8	3	1.78
3	FLA	26	1	1.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0