Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-02-04 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 51.5%
EDM: 48.5%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.75
EDM: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | STL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.893 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • STL at home vs EDM: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | EDM 5 - 0 STL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-03 | STL 3 - 2 EDM | STL | STL |
| 2025-04-09 | EDM 4 - 3 STL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-02-04 | STL 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | STL |
| 2024-12-07 | EDM 4 - 2 STL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 05:50 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 17:46 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:58 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:12 | STL | Goal |
| 4 | 02:33 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.3