Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

STL: 45.9%

EDM: 54.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.02

EDM: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	39	36	3	92.3%	3.86	2	0.86
EDM	Stuart Skinner	22	20	2	90.9%	3.29	3	1.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • STL at home vs EDM: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	5	1	0.39
1	EDM	20	1	1.34
2	STL	17	1	1.30
2	EDM	22	0	1.20
3	STL	10	1	1.52
3	EDM	13	1	0.93
4	STL	1	0	0.08
4	EDM	3	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0