Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 40.2%

CAR: 59.8%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.58

CAR: 3.68

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	1.02
1	CAR	16	0	0.72
2	WPG	7	0	0.44
2	CAR	20	0	1.05
3	WPG	15	4	2.56
3	CAR	12	1	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.7