Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 35.6%

COL: 64.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 1.94

COL: 5.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VAN at home vs COL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	COL 6 - 8 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-12-02	COL 3 - 1 VAN	COL	COL
2025-11-09	VAN 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-10	COL 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-02-04	VAN 3 - 0 COL	VAN	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.60
1	COL	20	0	1.10
2	VAN	17	2	1.36
2	COL	18	0	1.13
3	VAN	17	3	2.05
3	COL	7	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 0 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 1.9 - 5.2