Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-02-04 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 0 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 37.9%
COL: 62.1%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.65
COL: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | VAN | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.849 | 0.882 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs COL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | COL 6 - 8 VAN | VAN | COL |
| 2025-12-02 | COL 3 - 1 VAN | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-09 | VAN 4 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-10 | COL 1 - 4 VAN | VAN | COL |
| 2025-02-04 | VAN 3 - 0 COL | VAN | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:26 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:20 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:51 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 0 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.6 - 3.5
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