Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-02-04 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 40.9%
DAL: 59.1%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.71
DAL: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | ANA | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.828 | 0.750 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs DAL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | ANA 3 - 1 DAL | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-19 | ANA 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | ANA |
| 2025-11-06 | DAL 5 - 7 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-03-18 | DAL 4 - 3 ANA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-04 | ANA 2 - 1 DAL | ANA | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:47 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:29 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:07 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.7 - 3.0
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