Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 47.8%

DAL: 52.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.93

DAL: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • ANA at home vs DAL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	13	0	0.73
1	DAL	17	1	0.98
2	ANA	21	1	1.25
2	DAL	11	0	0.89
3	ANA	11	2	1.43
3	DAL	11	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4