Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

SEA: 43.9%

DET: 56.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.94

DET: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	41	36	5	87.8%	4.70	1	-0.30
DET	Cam Talbot	28	24	4	85.7%	3.14	4	-0.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs DET: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-18	DET 4 - 2 SEA	DET	SEA
2025-02-04	SEA 4 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-12	DET 6 - 2 SEA	DET	DET
2024-02-19	SEA 3 - 4 DET	DET	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	5	1	0.48
1	DET	16	0	0.63
2	SEA	14	1	1.25
2	DET	20	0	1.25
3	SEA	15	2	1.02
3	DET	22	0	1.41
4	SEA	4	0	0.30
4	DET	6	0	0.45
5	SEA	1	0	0.08
5	DET	2	1	0.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4