Montreal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-02-05 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

LAK: 68.6%

MTL: 31.4%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.30

MTL: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 13-5-3 | 0.889 SV% | 3.01 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	21	18	3	85.7%	1.44	0	-1.56
MTL	Jakub Dobes	37	31	6	83.8%	4.34	3	-1.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs MTL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	LAK 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	LAK
2025-11-11	MTL 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	MTL
2025-02-05	LAK 6 - 3 MTL	LAK	LAK
2024-10-17	MTL 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-12-07	MTL 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	22	0	0.80
1	MTL	11	0	0.54
2	LAK	19	1	1.56
2	MTL	10	0	0.62
3	LAK	16	2	1.98
3	MTL	10	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7