Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-02-06 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 50.5%
COL: 49.5%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.33
COL: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 8.0
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 66%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | CGY | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CGY at home vs COL: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | CGY 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-09 | COL 3 - 1 CGY | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-30 | COL 9 - 2 CGY | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-31 | COL 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | COL |
| 2025-03-14 | CGY 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:22 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 01:20 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 05:34 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:42 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:53 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:14 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.3 - 3.4
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