Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-02-06 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

SEA: 41.7%

TOR: 58.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.87

TOR: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

TOR

Anthony Stolarz - 6-5-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	30	27	3	90.0%	3.21	2	0.21
TOR	Anthony Stolarz	27	26	1	96.3%	2.70	1	1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SEA at home vs TOR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	SEA 5 - 2 TOR	SEA	SEA
2025-10-18	TOR 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-02-06	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-10-31	TOR 4 - 1 SEA	TOR	TOR
2024-01-21	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.37
1	TOR	20	0	1.24
2	SEA	20	0	1.09
2	TOR	11	1	0.80
3	SEA	19	1	1.24
3	TOR	13	1	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5