Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-02-06 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

SJS: 48.7%

VAN: 51.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.01

VAN: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

SJS

Vitek Vanecek - 17-9-3 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Vitek Vanecek	24	22	2	91.7%	2.17	0	0.17
VAN	Thatcher Demko	34	33	1	97.1%	2.76	1	1.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	8	0	0.58
1	VAN	11	0	0.70
2	SJS	15	0	0.74
2	VAN	18	0	0.88
3	SJS	18	1	1.31
3	VAN	5	0	0.23
4	SJS	2	0	0.12
4	VAN	2	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2