Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-02-07 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 51.8%
PIT: 48.2%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.02
PIT: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | NYR | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.951 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYR at home vs PIT: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | NYR 3 - 2 PIT | NYR | PIT |
| 2026-01-31 | PIT 6 - 5 NYR | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-11 | PIT 1 - 6 NYR | NYR | PIT |
| 2025-10-07 | NYR 0 - 3 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-02-23 | PIT 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:31 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:25 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 03:39 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:07 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 11:59 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
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