Nashville Predators at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-02-07 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 6 - 2 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 36.4%
NSH: 63.6%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.97
NSH: 3.47
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | CHI | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.05 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | Petr Mrazek | 33 | 31 | 2 | 93.9% | 3.83 | 3 | 1.83 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 30 | 24 | 6 | 80.0% | 3.44 | 1 | -2.56 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • CHI at home vs NSH: 1-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | CHI 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | CHI |
| 2026-02-26 | NSH 4 - 2 CHI | NSH | NSH |
| 2026-01-10 | NSH 0 - 3 CHI | CHI | NSH |
| 2025-11-28 | CHI 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-08 | NSH 3 - 2 CHI | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 12 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 1 | NSH | 14 | 0 | 0.85 |
| 2 | CHI | 14 | 0 | 1.18 |
| 2 | NSH | 13 | 1 | 0.94 |
| 3 | CHI | 13 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 3 | NSH | 23 | 2 | 2.05 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 6 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.0 - 3.5
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