Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-02-07 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 60.6%

COL: 39.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.42

COL: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • EDM at home vs COL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	EDM 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-10	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL
2025-11-08	EDM 1 - 9 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-07	EDM 4 - 5 COL	COL	EDM
2025-01-16	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	1	1.14
1	COL	15	2	1.15
2	EDM	11	3	1.68
2	COL	11	1	0.80
3	EDM	12	0	0.65
3	COL	17	3	2.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3