Utah Hockey Club at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-02-08 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 65.2%
UTA: 34.8%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.81
UTA: 2.72
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | CAR | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.899 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | Pyotr Kochetkov | 39 | 36 | 3 | 92.3% | 4.10 | 2 | 1.10 |
| UTA | Karel Vejmelka | 38 | 31 | 7 | 81.6% | 4.36 | 4 | -2.64 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • CAR at home vs UTA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | UTA 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-29 | CAR 5 - 4 UTA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-08 | CAR 7 - 3 UTA | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-13 | UTA 4 - 1 CAR | UTA | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 20 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 1 | UTA | 12 | 0 | 0.75 |
| 2 | CAR | 18 | 2 | 1.74 |
| 2 | UTA | 19 | 1 | 1.54 |
| 3 | CAR | 16 | 2 | 1.60 |
| 3 | UTA | 27 | 1 | 1.81 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.8 - 2.7
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