Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

FLA: 56.6%

OTT: 43.4%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.55

OTT: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 40%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 14-8-5 | 0.881 SV% | 2.95 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	26	1	96.3%	2.70	1	1.70
OTT	Linus Ullmark	48	43	5	89.6%	6.65	7	1.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs OTT: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	FLA
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	22	2	1.63
1	OTT	11	1	0.89
2	FLA	25	1	1.92
2	OTT	12	0	0.92
3	FLA	22	4	3.11
3	OTT	13	0	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1