Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-02-08 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 62.4%
PIT: 37.6%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.69
PIT: 2.12
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 36%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | PHI | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.840 | 0.901 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • PHI at home vs PIT: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | PIT 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | PIT |
| 2026-01-15 | PIT 6 - 3 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-01 | PHI 1 - 5 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-28 | PHI 3 - 2 PIT | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-02-27 | PIT 5 - 4 PHI | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:44 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 04:19 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 12:26 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 04:27 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 05:42 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.7 - 2.1
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