Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

PHI: 69.6%

PIT: 30.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.18

PIT: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs PIT: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-29	PHI 1 - 0 PIT	PHI	PIT
2026-04-27	PIT 3 - 2 PHI	PIT	PHI
2026-04-25	PHI 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PHI
2026-04-22	PHI 5 - 2 PIT	PHI	PHI
2026-04-20	PIT 0 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	4	0	0.24
1	PIT	18	0	1.04
2	PHI	11	0	0.81
2	PIT	13	1	1.03
3	PHI	17	1	1.13
3	PIT	19	4	3.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0