Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 45.9%

TOR: 54.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.53

TOR: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs TOR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	VAN 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	VAN
2026-01-10	TOR 5 - 0 VAN	TOR	TOR
2025-02-08	VAN 2 - 1 TOR	VAN	TOR
2025-01-11	TOR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	TOR
2024-01-20	VAN 6 - 4 TOR	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	20	0	1.13
1	TOR	10	0	0.54
2	VAN	11	1	0.75
2	TOR	23	0	0.98
3	VAN	21	2	2.48
3	TOR	10	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.5 - 3.1