New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-02-08 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 6 - 3 New York Islanders

Win Probability

MIN: 56.0%

NYI: 44.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.11

NYI: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	35	32	3	91.4%	3.53	1	0.53
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	34	28	6	82.4%	4.12	4	-1.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	MIN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MIN
2025-11-07	NYI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	NYI
2025-04-04	NYI 3 - 1 MIN	NYI	NYI
2025-02-08	MIN 6 - 3 NYI	MIN	MIN
2024-01-15	MIN 5 - 0 NYI	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	0	0.88
1	NYI	16	0	1.22
2	MIN	12	2	1.17
2	NYI	22	0	1.10
3	MIN	20	2	2.06
3	NYI	15	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 6 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9