Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-02-08 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 56.9%
ANA: 43.1%
Expected Goals
LAK: 2.70
ANA: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA
| Stat | LAK | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.886 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | David Rittich | 28 | 25 | 3 | 89.3% | 4.13 | 2 | 1.13 |
| ANA | Lukas Dostal | 45 | 44 | 1 | 97.8% | 3.73 | 1 | 2.73 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • LAK at home vs ANA: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | ANA 2 - 1 LAK | ANA | LAK |
| 2026-01-16 | LAK 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | LAK |
| 2025-12-27 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-28 | ANA 5 - 4 LAK | ANA | LAK |
| 2025-04-10 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 13 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 1 | ANA | 15 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 2 | LAK | 21 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 2 | ANA | 21 | 0 | 1.19 |
| 3 | LAK | 25 | 1 | 1.81 |
| 3 | ANA | 6 | 0 | 0.26 |
| 4 | LAK | 7 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 4 | ANA | 3 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 5 | LAK | 2 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 5 | ANA | 2 | 2 | 1.83 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 2.7 - 2.9
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