Edmonton Oilers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

PHI: 53.6%

EDM: 46.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.24

EDM: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	EDM 2 - 5 PHI	PHI	EDM
2025-11-12	PHI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-02-22	PHI 6 - 3 EDM	PHI	PHI
2024-10-15	EDM 4 - 3 PHI	EDM	EDM
2024-01-02	EDM 5 - 2 PHI	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	13	1	0.76
1	EDM	14	1	1.04
2	PHI	15	1	1.61
2	EDM	11	1	0.74
3	PHI	14	1	1.44
3	EDM	15	0	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0