New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 8 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

BUF: 52.8%

NYR: 47.2%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.32

NYR: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs NYR: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	NYR 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-08	NYR 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-09	BUF 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-22	BUF 8 - 2 NYR	BUF	BUF
2024-12-11	BUF 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	16	1	1.01
1	NYR	15	0	0.69
2	BUF	18	1	1.30
2	NYR	13	0	0.65
3	BUF	8	0	0.39
3	NYR	17	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 8 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0