Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 66.0%

SEA: 34.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.60

SEA: 2.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	22	20	2	90.9%	2.02	0	0.02
SEA	Joey Daccord	27	26	1	96.3%	3.00	1	2.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	FLA 5 - 4 SEA	FLA	FLA
2026-03-15	SEA 6 - 2 FLA	SEA	FLA
2025-02-22	FLA 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	FLA
2024-12-10	SEA 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	SEA
2023-12-12	SEA 4 - 0 FLA	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	18	0	1.25
1	SEA	17	0	0.95
2	FLA	16	1	1.04
2	SEA	12	0	0.77
3	FLA	14	0	0.71
3	SEA	9	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.6 - 2.3