Anaheim Ducks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-02-22 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 60.7%
ANA: 39.3%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.97
ANA: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | BOS | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs ANA: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | ANA 4 - 3 BOS | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-10-23 | BOS 5 - 7 ANA | ANA | BOS |
| 2025-03-26 | ANA 6 - 2 BOS | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-02-22 | BOS 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | BOS |
| 2023-10-26 | BOS 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:27 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:22 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:08 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:49 | BOS | Goal |
| 4 | 03:39 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9