Anaheim Ducks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 54.4%

ANA: 45.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.53

ANA: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	29	26	3	89.7%	2.58	3	-0.42
ANA	John Gibson	30	28	2	93.3%	3.08	2	1.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs ANA: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	ANA 4 - 3 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-10-23	BOS 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-26	ANA 6 - 2 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-02-22	BOS 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	BOS
2023-10-26	BOS 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	9	1	0.83
1	ANA	22	0	0.84
2	BOS	21	0	1.16
2	ANA	10	1	0.68
3	BOS	10	1	0.88
3	ANA	8	1	0.60
4	BOS	3	0	0.21
4	ANA	3	1	0.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2