Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-02-22 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 53.4%
CAR: 46.6%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.31
CAR: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | TOR | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | 0.800 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • TOR at home vs CAR: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | CAR 1 - 5 TOR | TOR | CAR |
| 2025-11-09 | TOR 4 - 5 CAR | CAR | TOR |
| 2025-04-13 | CAR 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | CAR |
| 2025-02-22 | TOR 6 - 3 CAR | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-01-09 | CAR 6 - 3 TOR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:50 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 03:29 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:39 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:06 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:25 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:46 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 15:06 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:37 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1