Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 50.7%

WPG: 49.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.14

WPG: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	29	25	4	86.2%	2.98	2	-1.02
WPG	Eric Comrie	27	24	3	88.9%	2.93	2	-0.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	WPG
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	WPG
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	8	1	0.43
1	WPG	11	1	0.58
2	STL	17	1	1.00
2	WPG	10	0	0.63
3	STL	13	0	0.86
3	WPG	10	0	0.79
4	STL	4	0	0.50
4	WPG	3	0	0.26
5	STL	3	0	0.14
5	WPG	2	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2