Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-02-22 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 57.6%
WPG: 42.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.92
WPG: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | STL | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.962 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 81% • STL at home vs WPG: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | WPG 3 - 1 STL | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-12-17 | STL 1 - 0 WPG | STL | STL |
| 2025-05-04 | WPG 4 - 3 STL | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-05-02 | STL 5 - 2 WPG | STL | STL |
| 2025-04-30 | WPG 5 - 3 STL | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:34 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 04:58 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 11:01 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:32 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:10 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:16 | STL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1