Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

VGK: 75.2%

VAN: 24.8%

Expected Goals

VGK: 4.01

VAN: 2.20

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	34	33	1	97.1%	2.71	0	1.71
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	35	32	3	91.4%	4.56	3	1.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VGK at home vs VAN: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	17	0	1.43
1	VAN	7	0	0.51
2	VGK	20	1	1.27
2	VAN	14	0	0.70
3	VGK	17	2	1.86
3	VAN	28	0	1.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.2