Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-02-22 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 63.5%
VAN: 36.5%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.47
VAN: 2.47
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | VGK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.913 | 0.839 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VGK at home vs VAN: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | VGK 5 - 2 VAN | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-04-16 | VAN 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | VAN |
| 2025-04-06 | VAN 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VAN |
| 2025-02-22 | VGK 3 - 1 VAN | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-12-19 | VGK 3 - 1 VAN | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:22 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 11:02 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 00:18 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:29 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.5