Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-02-23 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 46.7%
COL: 53.3%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.75
COL: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | STL | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.908 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.947 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • STL at home vs COL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | STL 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-05 | COL 2 - 3 STL | STL | COL |
| 2025-12-31 | COL 6 - 1 STL | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-05 | STL 5 - 4 COL | STL | COL |
| 2025-03-29 | COL 1 - 2 STL | STL | COL |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.7 - 3.2
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