New Jersey Devils at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 0 - 5 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 55.1%

NJD: 44.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.10

NJD: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	36	31	5	86.1%	3.03	1	-1.97
NJD	Nico Daws	29	29	0	100.0%	3.64	1	3.64

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • NSH at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NSH 2 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-01-29	NJD 3 - 2 NSH	NJD	NSH
2025-02-23	NSH 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	NSH
2024-11-25	NJD 5 - 2 NSH	NJD	NJD
2024-04-07	NJD 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	15	0	1.11
1	NJD	15	1	1.05
2	NSH	14	0	1.11
2	NJD	17	0	0.89
3	NSH	24	1	1.42
3	NJD	14	0	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 0 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9