Toronto Maple Leafs at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

CHI: 37.4%

TOR: 62.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.82

TOR: 3.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs TOR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	TOR 3 - 2 CHI	TOR	TOR
2025-11-15	CHI 3 - 2 TOR	CHI	TOR
2025-02-23	CHI 2 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-12-02	TOR 4 - 1 CHI	TOR	TOR
2023-11-24	CHI 4 - 3 TOR	CHI	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	12	1	0.59
1	TOR	15	0	0.77
2	CHI	12	0	0.71
2	TOR	24	2	1.71
3	CHI	10	0	0.18
3	TOR	10	1	1.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.8 - 3.5