Dallas Stars at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 62.7%

DAL: 37.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.46

DAL: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 7.9

Over 5.5: 75%

Over 6.5: 65%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • NYI at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	NYI 2 - 1 DAL	NYI	NYI
2025-11-18	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	DAL
2025-02-23	NYI 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	NYI
2024-10-12	DAL 3 - 0 NYI	DAL	NYI
2024-02-26	DAL 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	DAL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:10	DAL	Goal
2	03:44	NYI	Goal
2	08:48	DAL	Goal
2	08:55	NYI	Goal
2	15:53	DAL	Goal
2	17:28	DAL	Goal
3	09:17	DAL	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.5 - 3.4