San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-02-23 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 69.7%
SJS: 30.3%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.83
SJS: 2.32
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | CGY | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.922 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs SJS: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | SJS 1 - 4 CGY | CGY | SJS |
| 2026-01-31 | CGY 3 - 2 SJS | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-12-16 | SJS 6 - 3 CGY | SJS | CGY |
| 2025-11-13 | CGY 2 - 0 SJS | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-04-13 | CGY 5 - 2 SJS | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:41 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:27 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 03:35 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 01:54 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 13:28 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 69.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.8 - 2.3
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