San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

CGY: 62.4%

SJS: 37.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 4.04

SJS: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	SJS
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	0.77
1	SJS	14	0	0.73
2	CGY	16	1	1.00
2	SJS	22	0	0.94
3	CGY	16	1	1.06
3	SJS	13	0	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.9