Vancouver Canucks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-02-23 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

UTA: 67.4%

VAN: 32.6%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.46

VAN: 2.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

VAN

Arturs Silovs - 3-0-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	16	15	1	93.8%	2.43	3	1.43
VAN	Arturs Silovs	32	30	2	93.8%	3.53	3	1.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs VAN: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	VAN 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-02-02	UTA 6 - 2 VAN	UTA	UTA
2025-12-05	VAN 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-16	VAN 1 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-02-23	UTA 2 - 1 VAN	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	14	1	1.20
1	VAN	9	1	0.72
2	UTA	19	0	0.95
2	VAN	10	2	0.74
3	UTA	12	2	1.39
3	VAN	12	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.4