San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-02-24 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

WPG: 77.0%

SJS: 23.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.21

SJS: 1.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SJS

Vitek Vanecek - 17-9-3 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	18	17	1	94.4%	1.95	0	0.95
SJS	Vitek Vanecek	35	33	2	94.3%	3.04	0	1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WPG at home vs SJS: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	WPG	17	0.94
1	SJS	8	0.43
2	WPG	14	0.91
2	SJS	15	0.80
3	WPG	23	0.97
3	SJS	6	0.54
4	WPG	2	0.21
4	SJS	1	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.2 - 1.7