Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-02-24 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 39.8%
VGK: 60.2%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.17
VGK: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | LAK | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • LAK at home vs VGK: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | LAK 4 - 6 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-02-05 | VGK 4 - 1 LAK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-14 | LAK 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-10-08 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
| 2025-03-09 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:30 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 10:26 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 16:41 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 00:42 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 08:31 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:28 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:41 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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