Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-02-25 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

BOS: 49.3%

TOR: 50.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.38

TOR: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 7.3

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 62%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • BOS at home vs TOR: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	BOS 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	BOS
2025-11-11	BOS 5 - 3 TOR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-08	TOR 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	TOR
2025-02-25	BOS 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2025-01-04	TOR 6 - 4 BOS	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	00:29	BOS	Goal
1	13:59	BOS	Goal
2	10:00	BOS	Goal
2	13:52	BOS	Goal
3	00:59	BOS	Goal
3	06:40	BOS	Goal
3	10:33	BOS	Goal
3	19:14	BOS	Goal
4	04:08	TOR	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2