Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-02-25 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 48.2%

CAR: 51.8%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.68

CAR: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	12	0	0.69
1	CAR	7	0	0.45
2	MTL	3	0	0.17
2	CAR	14	1	0.93
3	MTL	12	2	1.38
3	CAR	23	1	1.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.5