Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2025-02-25 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 47.5%
CAR: 52.5%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.98
CAR: 2.52
Total Goals
Median: 3.7
Over 5.5: 29%
Over 6.5: 17%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | MTL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.922 | 0.727 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | CAR 1 - 3 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-03-24 | MTL 5 - 2 CAR | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-01-01 | CAR 5 - 7 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-04-16 | MTL 4 - 2 CAR | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-03-28 | CAR 4 - 1 MTL | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:05 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 17:37 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:04 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:22 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 2.5
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