Dallas Stars at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-02-25 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 4 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 44.6%
DAL: 55.4%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.23
DAL: 3.35
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CBJ at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | CBJ 1 - 0 DAL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-21 | DAL 1 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-02-25 | CBJ 6 - 4 DAL | CBJ | DAL |
| 2025-02-02 | DAL 5 - 3 CBJ | DAL | DAL |
| 2023-11-09 | CBJ 2 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 14 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 1 | DAL | 9 | 2 | 1.11 |
| 2 | CBJ | 22 | 0 | 1.31 |
| 2 | DAL | 14 | 3 | 1.56 |
| 3 | CBJ | 6 | 2 | 1.34 |
| 3 | DAL | 15 | 1 | 1.60 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 4 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3
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