Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-02-25 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 53.4%
DET: 46.6%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.13
DET: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs DET: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | DET 4 - 5 MIN | MIN | DET |
| 2026-01-22 | MIN 4 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-25 | MIN 2 - 3 DET | DET | MIN |
| 2025-02-22 | DET 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | DET |
| 2023-12-27 | MIN 6 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 14 | 0 | 0.92 |
| 1 | DET | 19 | 0 | 0.92 |
| 2 | MIN | 13 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 2 | DET | 7 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 3 | MIN | 16 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 3 | DET | 3 | 0 | 0.09 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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