Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-02-25 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 42.0%
DET: 58.0%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.00
DET: 3.28
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | MIN | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.879 | — |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs DET: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | DET 4 - 5 MIN | MIN | DET |
| 2026-01-22 | MIN 4 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-25 | MIN 2 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-22 | DET 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | DET |
| 2023-12-27 | MIN 6 - 3 DET | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:17 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 11:11 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 10:12 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 13:12 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 11:35 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.