Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-02-26 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 48.2%
WPG: 51.8%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.33
WPG: 3.45
Total Goals
Median: 8.0
Over 5.5: 80%
Over 6.5: 68%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | OTT | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs WPG: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | OTT 4 - 2 WPG | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-15 | WPG 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | WPG |
| 2025-02-26 | OTT 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-28 | WPG 4 - 2 OTT | WPG | OTT |
| 2024-03-30 | WPG 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:46 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 09:03 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 08:04 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 08:53 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 17:04 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.3 - 3.5
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