Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-02-26 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 68.0%
VAN: 32.0%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.49
VAN: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA
| Stat | LAK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.886 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | David Rittich | 17 | 14 | 3 | 82.4% | 1.73 | 0 | -1.27 |
| VAN | Kevin Lankinen | 26 | 24 | 2 | 92.3% | 2.92 | 0 | 0.92 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • LAK at home vs VAN: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | VAN 4 - 3 LAK | VAN | LAK |
| 2026-04-09 | LAK 4 - 1 VAN | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-03-26 | VAN 0 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-29 | LAK 2 - 1 VAN | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-02-26 | LAK 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 10 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 1 | VAN | 8 | 0 | 0.49 |
| 2 | LAK | 20 | 0 | 0.87 |
| 2 | VAN | 13 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 3 | LAK | 23 | 0 | 1.46 |
| 3 | VAN | 9 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 4 | LAK | 2 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 4 | VAN | 1 | 0 | 0.05 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6
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