Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-02-27 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 57.7%

CBJ: 42.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.21

CBJ: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	30	25	5	83.3%	5.90	7	0.90
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	31	29	2	93.5%	2.72	2	0.72

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DET at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	DET 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-04	CBJ 6 - 5 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-22	DET 4 - 3 CBJ	DET	CBJ
2025-03-01	CBJ 5 - 3 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-27	DET 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	0	0.41
1	CBJ	24	3	2.08
2	DET	14	1	1.05
2	CBJ	20	3	2.05
3	DET	19	1	1.26
3	CBJ	17	1	1.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8