Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-02-27 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

FLA: 50.3%

EDM: 49.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.23

EDM: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs EDM: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	EDM 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-11-22	FLA 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	FLA
2025-06-17	FLA 5 - 1 EDM	FLA	FLA
2025-06-14	EDM 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	EDM
2025-06-12	FLA 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	1.07
1	EDM	11	0	0.43
2	FLA	16	0	0.68
2	EDM	16	1	1.35
3	FLA	14	1	1.07
3	EDM	11	1	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1