Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-02-27 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

CAR: 70.4%

BUF: 29.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.85

BUF: 2.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CAR at home vs BUF: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	CAR 2 - 1 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-11-23	BUF 4 - 1 CAR	BUF	BUF
2025-11-08	CAR 6 - 3 BUF	CAR	CAR
2025-04-08	BUF 3 - 0 CAR	BUF	CAR
2025-02-27	CAR 5 - 2 BUF	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	29	2	1.92
1	BUF	8	0	0.30
2	CAR	17	0	1.42
2	BUF	9	1	0.68
3	CAR	13	1	1.52
3	BUF	13	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.8 - 2.5