Minnesota Wild at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-02-27 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

UTA: 58.3%

MIN: 41.7%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.85

MIN: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 40%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	16	15	1	93.8%	2.04	2	1.04
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	31	25	6	80.6%	3.31	2	-2.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs MIN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	MIN 5 - 0 UTA	MIN	MIN
2026-02-27	UTA 5 - 2 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-10-25	MIN 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	MIN
2025-02-27	UTA 6 - 1 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-01-23	MIN 0 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	13	0	1.09
1	MIN	9	0	0.62
2	UTA	16	0	0.85
2	MIN	13	1	1.02
3	UTA	15	2	1.36
3	MIN	10	1	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.8 - 2.7