Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • Ohio Stadium

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

CBJ: 50.6%

DET: 49.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.16

DET: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	46	43	3	93.5%	3.29	1	0.29
DET	Cam Talbot	21	16	5	76.2%	4.40	6	-0.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs DET: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	DET 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-04	CBJ 6 - 5 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-22	DET 4 - 3 CBJ	DET	CBJ
2025-03-01	CBJ 5 - 3 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-27	DET 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	8	1	0.85
1	DET	19	0	0.53
2	CBJ	11	1	0.67
2	DET	16	1	1.22
3	CBJ	12	4	2.88
3	DET	26	0	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2