Montreal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

BUF: 49.1%

MTL: 50.9%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.95

MTL: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs MTL: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	BUF 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	BUF
2026-01-22	MTL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	MTL
2026-01-15	BUF 5 - 3 MTL	BUF	MTL
2025-10-20	MTL 4 - 2 BUF	MTL	MTL
2025-03-03	MTL 4 - 3 BUF	MTL	MTL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
2	01:13	MTL	Goal
2	06:04	BUF	Goal
2	07:33	BUF	Goal
2	13:33	BUF	Goal
2	19:57	MTL	Goal
3	18:22	MTL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2