BUF vs MTL - 2025-03-01
2025-03-01 • KeyBank Center
BUF 2 - 4 MTL
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 68.8%
MTL: 31.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.34
MTL: 2.53
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:13 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:04 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 07:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 13:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 19:57 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:22 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
BUF 2 - 4 MTL
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5