San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-03-01 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

OTT: 71.2%

SJS: 28.8%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.50

SJS: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • OTT at home vs SJS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	OTT 7 - 4 SJS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-22	SJS 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-01	OTT 5 - 3 SJS	OTT	OTT
2024-11-27	SJS 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-03-09	SJS 2 - 1 OTT	SJS	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	10	0	0.56
1	SJS	16	0	0.83
2	OTT	22	1	1.67
2	SJS	16	0	1.04
3	OTT	10	2	1.32
3	SJS	22	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7